U.S. Department of Labor Bureau Predicts High-needs Occupations
Will Include Teachers at All Levels

The Bureau of Labor Statistics recently published its 2004-2005 Occupational Outlook Quarterly—online which includes career information projections through 2012. The findings are particularly significant to those considering a career in teaching.

The BLS predicts that the employment growth throughout the 2002-2012 decade will be “concentrated in the service-providing sector of the economy. Within the service-providing sector, two industry groups are expected to account for almost half of all wage-and-salary employment growth in the economy: professional and business services and education and health services.” Of the 30 fastest growing occupations, 19 require an associate degree or higher degree, or work experience, plus a bachelor’s or graduate degree.

In the top large-growth occupations that usually require a bachelor’s degree, the projected need (223,000) is greatest for elementary school teachers (except special education). Secondary school teachers (except special and vocational education teachers) present the fourth highest occupational need through 2012. Middle schools are projected to need 52,000 more teachers. The BLS report predicts that 130,000 special education teachers will be needed to meet the demand. Teachers and others who have high computer skills are increasingly expected to be in high demand.

Almost all such occupations have high ($27,500 to $41,780) or very high ($41,820 and higher) earnings. BLS economists base the earnings data on 2002 data. An occupation’s median earnings ranking is included in several charts in the 2004-2005 Occupational Outlook Quarterly. The BLS cautions that “rankings are a useful guide, but earnings vary widely within each occupation.” Nevertheless, all levels of teaching fall within the high or very high earnings rankings.

The job outlook section of the publication provides a perspective on the various factors that can affect occupational projections, such as the aging of baby boomers, the increasing ethnic diversity of the labor force, the introduction of technological innovations, changes in the skills that are required in the workplace, and increasing foreign competition, among others.

The print versions of the 2004-2005 editions of the Occupational Outlook Handbook (BLS Bulletin 2570) and the Career Guide to Industries (BLS Bulletin 2571) are expected to be available in Spring 2004. A graphic presentation of projection highlights appears in the Winter 2003-2004 Occupational Outlook Quarterly, accessible at http://www.bls.gov/opub/ooq/ooqhome.htm.

Graph depicting large growth occupations

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